Each day, one of our experts at bet.NOLA.com will suggest a better bet (or two or three) offered by mobile sportsbooks in Louisiana. It can be a traditional spread bet, a player prop, or one of the various odds boosts offered by the books.
As a reminder, for those who haven’t signed up yet, Caesars is also offering an offer through bet.NOLA.com, where one can get a risk-free bet up to $1,500. In other words, after you sign up, if you were to lose your first bet, you’ll get credit for a bet equal to your bet amount up to $1,500.
Here are the best bets for Saturday June 11:
The game: Danny Lee will have a better third round than Ben Martin at PGA Tour Canadian Open (tie loses)
Odds/bet: -105 ($31.50 to earn $30)
The book: Caesars Sportsbook
Time/TV: 11:15 a.m. (ESPN+, Golf Channel at noon, CBS at 2 p.m.)
Our opinion : This is a classic play for a later round at a golf tournament: Fade the guy who got super hot with the putter (Martin) and back the guy who had a harder time putting (Lee) .
It’s not always that simple, of course. Martin is a slightly better putter than Lee normally, earning about one more stroke against the court via putting than Lee. But in this weekend’s tournament, Martin has won nearly four strokes on the green, while Lee is about average. And yet, they are tied at 1 under par for the weekend.
Sometimes to win at sports betting you have to be ready to zigzag when everyone else thinks you should zigzag. We’ll take Lee to continue beating Martin from tee to green on Saturday and make up a shot or two on the greens from what happened on Friday.
The game: MLB Money Line Parlay, Astros on Marlins and Mariners on Red Sox
Odds/bet: +159 ($10 to earn $15.90)
The book: Caesars Sportsbook
Time/TV: Miami at Houston, 3:10 p.m. (MLB TV; Boston at Seattle, 9:10 p.m. (MLB TV or ESPN+)
Our opinion :
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB PARLAY
The game: MLB Money Line Parlay, Blue Jays vs. Tigers and Cardinals vs. Reds
Odds/bet: +148 ($10 to earn $14.80)
The book: FanDuel
Time/TV: Toronto at Detroit, 6:10 p.m., Cincinnati at St. Louis, 7:15 p.m. (both games on MLB TV)
Our opinion : We start with the Astros here because they lost Game 1 of the series Friday night to a solid Marlins starter in Pablo Lopez (he would be an ace on most teams, but Miami has Sandy Alcantara too).
Anyway, tonight Houston takes on Braxton Garrett, a southpaw making his second start of the season and only the 11th career start. He has a career ERA of 5.60 with 26 walks in 45 innings. Sounds like a recipe for getting bruised by Houston, who has Framber Valdez (2.61 ERA) to go.
For the other half of the parlay, we’re going to try a line that looks a little dodgy. Why are the Mariners -115 favorites against the fearsome Boston, who swept four from Seattle last month in Boston and started fantastically Michael Wacha?
It is this type of line that makes you want to look a little closer. On the one hand, the Mariners have been much better at home, they’re starting to play better themselves, having won their last four series, and they themselves have a good starting pitcher in rookie George Kirby. As for Wacha, he’s certainly been solid but maybe not as good as his numbers suggest, getting some luck on balls in play and HR/fly ball rate. A small regression and we collect a nice bet.
HOW WE DID
Friday’s best bets
- NBA Finals Same Game Bet: Warriors +10.5/Under 222.5/Curry Over 24.5 (WIN $35)
- NCAA Super Regional: Texas A&M vs. Louisville (WIN $10.50)
- MLB parlay: Blue Jays/Cardinals money line (WIN $14.80)
Friday profit/loss: +$60.30 (3-0)
Total for the week: +$46.30 (7-4, 1 pending)
Total for June: +$72.60 (12-9, 1 pending)
Total for 2022: +$76.70 (148-155, 1 pending)
REMARK: If a line or odds are negative, it considers the juice needed to place the bet. Ex: Team A is at -160 on the money line, you would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5 point favorite at -110, you would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)
Conversely, on the positive lines, if Team C is at +140 on the money line, a $100 will win $140 (or $10 to win $14).